INTEGRAL REPRESENTATION of PROBABILITY DENSITY of STOCHASTIC VOLATILITY MODELS and TIMER OPTIONS

This paper contributes a generic probabilistic method to derive explicit exact probability densities for stochastic volatility models. Our method is based on a novel application of the exponential measure change in [Z. Palmowski & T. Rolski (2002) A technique for exponential change of measure for Markov processes, Bernoulli 8(6), 767-785]. With this generic approach, we first derive explicit probability densities in terms of model parameters for several stochastic volatility models with nonzero correlations, namely the Heston 1993, 3/2, and a special case of the α-Hypergeometric stochastic volatility models recently proposed by [J. Da Fonseca & C. Martini (2016) The α-Hypergeometric stochastic volatility model, Stochastic Processes and their Applications 126(5), 1472-1502]. Then, we combine our method with a stochastic time change technique to develop explicit formulae for prices of timer options in the Heston model, the 3/2 model and a special case of the α-Hypergeometric model.