Long-run growth rate in a random multiplicative model

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Abstract

We consider the long-run growth rate of the average value of a random multiplicative process xi + 1 = aixi where the multipliers ai=1+ρ exp (σ Wi - 1/2 σ 2ti) have Markovian dependence given by the exponential of a standard Brownian motion Wi. The average value 〈xn〈 is given by the grand partition function of a one-dimensional lattice gas with two-body linear attractive interactions placed in a uniform field. We study the Lyapunov exponent λ = lim n →∞ 1/n log 〈 xn 〉 at fixed β = 1/2 σ 2 tn n, and show that it is given by the equation of state of the lattice gas in thermodynamical equilibrium. The Lyapunov exponent has discontinuous partial derivatives along a curve in the (ρ, β) plane ending at a critical point (ρC, βC) which is related to a phase transition in the equivalent lattice gas. Using the equivalence of the lattice gas with a bosonic system, we obtain the exact solution for the equation of state in the thermodynamical limit n → ∞.

Original languageEnglish
Article number083305
JournalJournal of Mathematical Physics
Volume55
Issue number8
DOIs
StatePublished - 11 Jul 2014

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