Random equations in free groups

In this paper we study the asymptotic probability that a random equation in a finitely generated free group F is solvable in F. For one-variable equations this probability is zero, but for split equations, i.e., equations of the form ν(x₁,....,x_k) = g, g ∈ F, the probability is strictly between zero and one if k ≥ rank(F) ≥ 2. As a consequence the endomorphism problem in F has intermediate asymptotic density, and we obtain the first natural algebraic examples of subsets of intermediate density in free groups of rank larger than two.