THE FUTURE OF MEGAPROJECT MANAGEMENT

The integration of data visualization, artificial intelligence (AI), and machine learning (ML) with human knowledge transfer across teams presents significant opportunities for managing the world's largest programs, commonly referred to as megaprojects. According to the Oxford Handbook of Megaproject Management, megaprojects are characterized as “large-scale, complex ventures that typically cost $1 billion or more, take many years to develop and build, involve multiple public and private stakeholders, are transformational, and impact millions of people.” These projects often function as mega-systems marked by operational uncertainty, behavioral complexity, pluralistic decision-making, and external environmental volatility. Despite the fundamental role of uncertainty management in megaproject leadership, the project management literature offers limited coverage on this topic. Similarly, the visualization of uncertainties has not been extensively analyzed. In response to these gaps, this study introduces a new assessment framework designed to categorize and describe the dimensions of uncertainty in megaprojects. We developed an innovative megaproject uncertainty framework to use as a project assessment and management playbook for megaproject uncertainties. The framework was tested on historical case studies and ongoing megaprojects. This paper will discuss the development, application, and evaluation of the Megaproject Uncertainty Framework..