Abstract
Mass gatherings often underlie civil disobedience activities and as such run the risk of turning violent, causing damage to both property and people. While civil unrest is a rather common phenomenon, only a small subset of them involve crowds turning violent. How can we distinguish which events are likely to lead to violence? Using articles gathered from thousands of online news sources, we study a two-level multi-instance learning formulation, CrowdForecaster, tailored to forecast violent crowd behavior, specifically violent protests. Using data from five countries in Latin America, we demonstrate not just the predictive utility of our approach, but also its effectiveness in discovering triggering factors, especially in uncovering how and when crowd behavior begets violence.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Title of host publication | Proceedings of the 2018 IEEE/ACM International Conference on Advances in Social Networks Analysis and Mining, ASONAM 2018 |
| Editors | Andrea Tagarelli, Chandan Reddy, Ulrik Brandes |
| Pages | 77-82 |
| Number of pages | 6 |
| ISBN (Electronic) | 9781538660515 |
| DOIs | |
| State | Published - 24 Oct 2018 |
| Event | 10th IEEE/ACM International Conference on Advances in Social Networks Analysis and Mining, ASONAM 2018 - Barcelona, Spain Duration: 28 Aug 2018 → 31 Aug 2018 |
Publication series
| Name | Proceedings of the 2018 IEEE/ACM International Conference on Advances in Social Networks Analysis and Mining, ASONAM 2018 |
|---|
Conference
| Conference | 10th IEEE/ACM International Conference on Advances in Social Networks Analysis and Mining, ASONAM 2018 |
|---|---|
| Country/Territory | Spain |
| City | Barcelona |
| Period | 28/08/18 → 31/08/18 |
UN SDGs
This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
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SDG 16 Peace, Justice and Strong Institutions
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